Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,565$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(229 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,494.2}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 75.5)}}\) (asimptote \(6,494.2\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $45$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.23 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{54.3}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 56.3)}}\) (asimptote \(54.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $955$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $92,681$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(528 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{582,622.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 125.8)}}\) (asimptote \(582,622.5\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,877$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(26 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,959.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 85.8)}}\) (asimptote \(4,959.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $40,478$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,813$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.96 \times 10^{0.037t}\) (doubling rate \(8.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,703.6}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 85.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,703.6\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $108$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(0.219 \times 10^{0.033t}\) (doubling rate \(9.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{118.9}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 71.2)}}\) (asimptote \(118.9\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,009$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,664$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(80.6 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(20.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,637.2}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 63.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,637.2\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.61 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.6\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,117$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,672$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(129 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,681.5}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 80.2)}}\) (asimptote \(7,681.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $125$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(10.3 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{313.7}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 105.8)}}\) (asimptote \(313.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,740$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $53,758$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(726 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{131,244.8}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 105.2)}}\) (asimptote \(131,244.8\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,106$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(79.7 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.6\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $37,325$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,631$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.24 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,524.5}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 59.7)}}\) (asimptote \(12,524.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $837$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(164 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{768.0}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 40.3)}}\) (asimptote \(768.0\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,470$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,428$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(107 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,748.8}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 70.7)}}\) (asimptote \(4,748.8\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(0.982 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{60.1}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 91.1)}}\) (asimptote \(60.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,644$ on 2020-06-20
